From Tierney's Real News:
ShareWhat will happen in the midterms? Here’s my best thinking right now.
Republicans currently hold both the House and Senate by narrow margins.
Left-leaning pollsters project Democrats will flip the House in 2026 by 9–15 seats while Republicans cling to the Senate by a single vote.
A few weeks ago, right-leaning pollsters expected Democrats to take the House by one seat and Republicans to expand their Senate edge to 2–3 seats.
In the past week, however, many of those same voices on the right have flipped: they now predict the GOP will hold both chambers—again by narrow margins.
All bets are off.
Here’s a sample of what some conservatives are saying on X right now:
David Marcus: GOP hold in both houses.
Ted Cruz: If we show up and unify, the GOP can grow our majorities in both the House and Senate. It’s all about turnout.
Bill Mitchell: Democrats are going to lose in November in the most humiliating fashion possible.
RNC Chair Joe Gruters: I expect Republicans to hold both chambers—220 House seats and 53 Senate seats.
Seth Levy: 53-47 GOP in the Senate and 218-217 Republican in the House. Republicans hold both.
House Speaker Mike Johnson: Republicans will hold and grow the House majority.
Unseen1: With all the propaganda and fake polls, there’s no way of predicting. 50/50 chance the GOP keeps the House; I think they hold the Senate.
(Read more.)


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