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Monday, May 19, 2025

Probability Analysis: Can This Happen by Chance?

 From Immutable Truth:

Let’s break it down.

In four election cycles — 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024 — over 223 precinct-level entries in Broward County shared identical blank ballot percentages, rounded to the second decimal place (e.g., 4.74%, 6.22%, etc.).

This means that out of thousands of theoretically unique, voter-driven, organic precinct results — whole groups of precincts somehow reported the exact same blank vote rate down to 0.01%, and often repeated this in different years.

The Math Behind the Impossibility

The range of possible blank percentages (rounded to two decimal places between 0.00% and 10.00%) gives us 1,001 unique outcomes.

Let’s say 223 precincts each cast their own blank vote percentages independently. (Read more.)

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